Sun, Aug 23, 2009
Military Procurement Will Lull, Then Pick Up Again In 2017
A detailed 11-year world acquisition spending analysis from G2
Solutions titled “Battlefield UAS: Market Analysis and
Outlook” says Unmanned Aerial Systems will be a billion
dollar business in the next decade. The report cuts through Nano,
Micro, Mini and Close Range Unmanned Aerial System (UAS)
categories, with the intention of forecasting UAS that could
readily contribute to forward deployed situational awareness during
the forecast period. In compiling the research G2 Solutions
downselected to 98 UAS from a preliminary list of more than 950
acknowledged programs.
The downselect process took into account variables such as: host
government support, Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) endurance, range
and MTOW, domestic and international sales potential, technological
risk, payload modularity, system status, confirmed and pending
orders, system growth potential and finally its ability to
contribute to Platoon or Company level situational awareness.
The market remains in a fulfillment phase, with programs such as
RQ-11, RQ-14 and RQ-16 accounting for hundreds of millions of
acquisition revenues through 2019. With these three programs, U.S.
based AeroVironment has a commanding market presence, with close to
60 percent of installed-base revenues. “Programs such as
Raven, Wasp, Dragon Eye and Puma have made AeroVironment the
defacto incumbent on a wide range of U.S. DoD battlefield
UAS,” said Ron Stearns, Research Director for G2 Solutions.
“The recompete cycles for these programs, in addition to UAS
requests that fell under Future Combat Systems will have a profound
effect on market share and deliveries through 2019.
UAS Cockpit File Photo
DoD deliveries on programs of record will ebb after 2011, with
the exception of the Honeywell RQ-16 MAV. This report forecasts a
new DoD acquisition cycle with deliveries commencing in 2017,
assuming a continuing presence in Southwest Asia. Throughout the
forecast period, G2 Solutions expects more than 27,000 small,
tactical UAVs to enter service worldwide.
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