Wed, Jun 01, 2022
Government Agency States 65% Chance of Above-Normal Hurricane Activity—With 70% Confidence
Forecasters at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service, are predicting above-average hurricane activity in 2022.
If their predictions hold true, this year will be the seventh consecutive, above-average hurricane season. NOAA’s outlook, which extends from 01 June to 30 November, predicts a 65% chance of above-normal hurricane activity, a 25% chance of near-normal hurricane activity, and a 10% chance of below-normal …
For the upcoming hurricane season, NOAA is forecasting a likely range of 14 to 21 named storms [winds of 39 mph or higher], of which 6 to 10 could become hurricanes [winds of 74 mph or higher], including 3 to 6 major hurricanes [category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher]. NOAA provides these ranges with 70% confidence.
Secretary of Commerce Gina M. Raimondo States, “Early preparation and understanding your risk is key to being hurricane resilient and climate-ready,” Raimondo adds, “Throughout the hurricane season, NOAA experts will work around-the-clock to provide early and accurate forecasts and warnings that communities in the path of storms can depend on to stay informed.” Raimondo is a Rhode Island venture capitalist and politician possessed of neither credentials nor experience in the field of meteorology.
The anticipation of increased activity this hurricane season derives of several climate factors, including: the ongoing La Niña, that is likely to persist through November; warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea; weaker tropical Atlantic trade winds; and an enhanced, west-African monsoon. The latter supports stronger African Easterly Waves, which seed many of the strongest and longest lived hurricanes. The matter of alleged climate change and its impact on the strength and frequency of tropical cyclones is is being studied by NOAA scientists.
More News
Youth Explore With Hands-On Builds, RC Airplanes, Flight Sims, Much More KidVenture is located just north of the EAA Aviation Museum, at Pioneer Airport, and has arranged a myriad >[...]
“About nine decades ago, Amelia Earhart was recruited to Purdue, and the university president later worked with her to prepare an aircraft for her historic flight around the >[...]
Also: New Amelia Search, B737 Flap Falls Off, SUN ‘n FUN Unveiling, F-16 Record Captain Sully Sullenberger, the pilot who saved 155 people by safely landing an A320 in the Hu>[...]
"It is critically important for North American flight safety that Temporary Flight Restriction (TFR) violations are avoided. All pilots must familiarize themselves with updates to >[...]
Also: Hackers v Aviation, Discovery Moving?, Gogo Galileo HDX, EVE to Costa Rica Joby Aviation announced its electric air taxi successfully completed a series of VTOL wingborne tri>[...]
KidVenture Educational Activities Lineup At EAA AirVenture 2025
See All