Wed, Jun 01, 2022
Government Agency States 65% Chance of Above-Normal Hurricane Activity—With 70% Confidence
Forecasters at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service, are predicting above-average hurricane activity in 2022.
If their predictions hold true, this year will be the seventh consecutive, above-average hurricane season. NOAA’s outlook, which extends from 01 June to 30 November, predicts a 65% chance of above-normal hurricane activity, a 25% chance of near-normal hurricane activity, and a 10% chance of below-normal …
For the upcoming hurricane season, NOAA is forecasting a likely range of 14 to 21 named storms [winds of 39 mph or higher], of which 6 to 10 could become hurricanes [winds of 74 mph or higher], including 3 to 6 major hurricanes [category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher]. NOAA provides these ranges with 70% confidence.
Secretary of Commerce Gina M. Raimondo States, “Early preparation and understanding your risk is key to being hurricane resilient and climate-ready,” Raimondo adds, “Throughout the hurricane season, NOAA experts will work around-the-clock to provide early and accurate forecasts and warnings that communities in the path of storms can depend on to stay informed.” Raimondo is a Rhode Island venture capitalist and politician possessed of neither credentials nor experience in the field of meteorology.
The anticipation of increased activity this hurricane season derives of several climate factors, including: the ongoing La Niña, that is likely to persist through November; warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea; weaker tropical Atlantic trade winds; and an enhanced, west-African monsoon. The latter supports stronger African Easterly Waves, which seed many of the strongest and longest lived hurricanes. The matter of alleged climate change and its impact on the strength and frequency of tropical cyclones is is being studied by NOAA scientists.
More News
From 2016 (YouTube Edition): The Canadian Forces Snowbirds Can Best Be Described As ‘Elegant’… EAA AirVenture 2016 was a great show and, in no small part, it was>[...]
Airplane Lunged Forward When It Was Stuck From Behind By A Tug That Was Towing An Unoccupied Airliner Analysis: At the conclusion of the air taxi flight, the flight crew were taxii>[...]
Aero Linx: International Stinson Club So you want to buy a Stinson. Well the Stinson is a GREAT value aircraft. The goal of the International Stinson Club is to preserve informatio>[...]
Request Full Route Clearance Used by pilots to request that the entire route of flight be read verbatim in an ATC clearance. Such request should be made to preclude receiving an AT>[...]
"Today's battlefield is adapting rapidly. By teaching our soldiers to understand how drones work and are built, we are giving them the skills to think creatively and apply emerging>[...]
Classic Aero-TV: Pure Aerial Precision - The Snowbirds at AirVenture 2016
See All