Investors in Raburn's 'Technological Transformation' Find Much
To Celebrate
The last time that the
Eclipse folks gathered together en masse, builders and buyers, the
future did not look all that promising. The Williams powerplant
mess was in full swing, there were dozens of technological and
regulatory hurdles ahead of them, and the overall industry
outlook--especially in bizjet terms... kinda, well,
sucked.
That was then... this is now. At the recently concluded Eclipse
Owner's conference, the atmosphere could not have been more
different. Just weeks away from a first flight for the re-engined
(and pretty much production modeled) Eclipse 500, over 300 future
jet flyers got together for what can only be called a pep rally...
with no lack of pep. Mind you, this was a serious conference...
chock full of stats, info, reports and announcements... but the
buoyant atmosphere and sense of cheerful expectation was impossible
to quash (or even deny). And Eclipse's Vern Raburn was plainly
loving every minute of it.
It was a full day, starting at 0630 and quitting well after
dinner time. It was an honest meeting... sometimes brutally so...
not only in Vern's initial recitation of many of the negative
pronouncements made about the Eclipse program (and how they were
NOT coming to pass), but in the unlimited access attendees had, not
only to him, but to critical staff members throughout the day.
Nothing was off the record, no questions were off-limits and
virtually every nook and cranny of the Eclipse plant was on
display... as well as the development aircraft, equipment,
fixtures, facilities and staffers. It was a pretty neat day if you
were interested in the Eclipse program... but it was a delight to
the hundreds, in attendance, who had bet serious money that "Vern's
Pipedream" was anything BUT a future nightmare.
After an hour of registration and breakfast, the Eclipse
gathering got down to business quickly. It wasn't quite 0800, but
there wasn't a dreary eye in the house. It was payoff time and Vern
was about to deliver more of the goods. There have been two big
(remaining) questions to the program, as it gets ready to get back
to flight test and enter the home stretch to certification (a
program that is well underway despite the respite in flight testing
necessitated b the engine change from Williams to P&W nearly
two years ago). Those questions have revolved around training and
insurance... and Raburn's crew had some solid answers.
The rumor mill has not been kind to Eclipse on these subjects
(mind you, this is after other rumors on other topics came, went
and were ultimately found to be full of hot-air), and the
expectation was heavy. A number of industry pundits predicted
excessive restrictions (in both training, licensing and insurance
realms) for future Eclipse flyers and insurance rates that would
take much economy out of the bird. Vern's announcements, overseen
by AIG Aviation's William Lovett and Jim Anderson, as well as
Willis Global Aviation's Joe Braunstein, seem to have quelled much
of those concerns. In partnership with AIG Aviation, Raburn noted
that ANY pilot that completes the Eclipse 500 factory training
program will be insured... no matter their experience level. Even
more intriguing, insurance broker Willis Global Aviation provided
preliminary rate projections for the Eclipse 500 owner pilot
market. Premium and coverage estimates were published and disclosed
publicly for a number of owner scenarios, with excellent liability
protection and no sub-limits (as previously noted in ANN, earlier
in the month).
The insurance briefing emphasized a number of pretty lofty
criteria... that TRAINING and HOURS were to serve as the
determinant in the insurance process, there would be no "new
aircraft" penalty or premium (oft seen when a new bird hits the
market), and that higher liability limits were to be made available
for those in need.
Rate Estimates (according to Willis Global Aviation)
Note: Please note that future market conditions
in 2006 as well as an individual's actual pilot experience and
qualifications will affect future hull and liability
quotations.
Below are three scenarios, representing pilots with varying
experience levels.
- MINIMAL EXPERIENCE PILOT SCENARIO
(APPROXIMATELY 500 HOURS TOTAL TIME AT POLICY
INCEPTION)
-
- Pilot enters Eclipse training program with private pilot
certificate, instrument rating (limited actual instrument time),
and multi-engine rating (limited multi time).
- Pilot must successfully complete Eclipse pilot skills
evaluation (oral and written exam, including evaluation flight)
supplemental training as indicated by pilot skills evaluation;
Eclipse 5-part home study program; altitude chamber and Eclipse
upset recovery training; and Eclipse type rating program.
- Customer must enroll in Eclipse mentor training and agree to
complete recurrent training in 6 months.
Full hull ($1.175 million value) and $1 million in liability
with no per seat sub-limit
--Estimated Premium: $42,000
- MEDIUM EXPERIENCE PILOT SCENARIO
(APPROXIMATELY 1,000 HOURS TOTAL TIME AT POLICY
INCEPTION)
-
- Pilot enters Eclipse training program with private pilot
certificate, instrument rating (approximately 100 hours of actual
instrument time), and multi-engine rating (approximately 200 hours
of multi-engine time).
- Pilot must successfully complete Eclipse pilot skills
evaluation (oral and written exam, including evaluation flight);
supplemental training as indicated by pilot skills evaluation if
needed; Eclipse 5-part home study program; altitude chamber and
Eclipse upset recovery training and Eclipse type rating
program.
- Customer must enroll in Eclipse mentor training and agree to
complete recurrent training in 12 months.
Full hull ($1.175 million value) and $5 million in liability
with no per seat sub-limit
--Estimated Premium: $44,000
Full hull with $1 million in liability with no per seat
sub-limit
--Estimated Premium: $37,000
- EXPERIENCED PILOT SCENARIO
(APPROXIMATELY 2,500 HOUR TOTAL TIME AT POLICY
INCEPTION)
-
- Pilot enters Eclipse training program with commercial pilot
certificate, instrument rating (approximately 100 hours of actual
instrument time), and multi-engine rating (approximately 500 hours
of multi-engine time with 100 hours of turbofan time and a previous
turbofan type rating).
- Pilot must successfully complete Eclipse pilot skills
evaluation (oral and written exam, including evaluation flight);
supplemental training as indicated by pilot skills evaluation if
needed; Eclipse 5-part home study program; altitude chamber and
Eclipse upset recovery training and Eclipse type rating
program.
- Eclipse mentor training will be waived in most
cases. Pilot must agree to complete recurrent training
in 12 months.
Full hull ($1.175 million value) and $10 million in liability
with no per seat sub-limit
--Estimated Premium: $36,000
Full hull with $1 million in liability with no per seat
sub-limit
--Estimated Premium: $27,000
Audience reaction was positive... especially since a number of
attendees were paying in excess of the above quoted rates for
lesser aircraft -- including at least two high-performance single
engine piston aircraft.
But, there was more to come... especially in terms of
training, where Eclipse exceeded the status quo inherent in twin
engine entry-level business jet training by choosing to do
business with a company whose rep and assets were developed from a
far more arduous and tasking aspect to aviation... scheduled 121
commercial airline service. Eclipse had made a deal with industry
giant United Airlines to train the first generation of VLJ
pilots.
To Be Continued