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Fri, May 12, 2006

Stop The Bleeding, Part II -- Delta Posts $2.1 Billion Loss So Far This Year

But, As With NWA, Losses May Mask Greater Progress

Big losses for bankrupt airlines seems to be a recurring theme this week, as on Friday Delta Air Lines reported a staggering loss of $2.1 billion for the first quarter of 2006. That number -- a large part of which was due to restructuring costs -- is $1 billion greater than the loss posted by similarly plagued Northwest Airlines for the same time period. As is the case with NWA, however, those losses may mask progress for the airline.

At least, that's what Delta management is choosing to focus on -- as the airline also reported that, excluding non-cash restructuring costs, Delta "only" lost $356 million for the quarter... still a high number, but much better than the $684 million loss Delta posted for the same timeframe in 2005.

And, perhaps most significantly, that losses also shrank as the quarter progressed, as restructuring efforts (including staff cuts, as well as pay cuts for the airline's non-pilot employees) began to take hold. In fact, the carrier reports it expects to post only a $6 million loss in March -- again, excluding restructuring costs -- but still far better than the $351 million loss in January and February under the same conditions.

"Despite these higher fuel costs... our company succeeded in reducing the first-quarter operating loss by nearly 50 percent year-over-year -- evidence that Delta's plan is on-track," said Delta CEO Gerald Grinstein said, quoted by the Atlanta Journal-Constitution.

The carrier is also banking on a tentative agreement Delta reached with its pilots in April, after months of contentious talks that brought the carrier to the brink of a pilot-walkout-induced shutdown.

Delta says that threat hasn't completely dissipated... in fact, the carrier said in a court filing this week that the continued strike threat was costing "millions of dollars per week in lost sales, as concerned passengers and shippers booked flights on other airlines."

Should pilots ratify their contract in voting expected to begin next Wednesday, that concern would lessen... and a temporary 14-percent pilot pay cut Delta implemented in December 2005 -- that has already had an impact on Delta's books -- would be carried through the end of the year, further boosting Delta's fortunes.

Rising fares and reduced capacity -- while banes to travelers -- have also helped Delta lessen its losses as fuel prices continue to hover around $1.86 a gallon. That's higher than the original projection of $1.74 Delta's turnaround plan called for, which has translated into roughly $75 million more in fuel expenses than predicted.

FMI: www.delta.com

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